Application of a Hybrid Method Combining Grey Model and Back Propagation Artificial Neural Networks to Forecast Hepatitis B in China
نویسندگان
چکیده
Accurate incidence forecasting of infectious disease provides potentially valuable insights in its own right. It is critical for early prevention and may contribute to health services management and syndrome surveillance. This study investigates the use of a hybrid algorithm combining grey model (GM) and back propagation artificial neural networks (BP-ANN) to forecast hepatitis B in China based on the yearly numbers of hepatitis B and to evaluate the method's feasibility. The results showed that the proposal method has advantages over GM (1, 1) and GM (2, 1) in all the evaluation indexes.
منابع مشابه
Predicting air pollution in Tehran: Genetic algorithm and back propagation neural network
Suspended particles have deleterious effects on human health and one of the reasons why Tehran is effected is its geographically location of air pollution. One of the most important ways to reduce air pollution is to predict the concentration of pollutants. This paper proposed a hybrid method to predict the air pollution in Tehran based on particulate matter less than 10 microns (PM10), and the...
متن کاملApplication of Linear Regression and Artificial NeuralNetwork for Broiler Chicken Growth Performance Prediction
This study was conducted to investigate the prediction of growth performance using linear regression and artificial neural network (ANN) in broiler chicken. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are powerful tools for modeling systems in a wide range of applications. The ANN model with a back propagation algorithm successfully learned the relationship between the inputs of metabolizable energy (kca...
متن کاملپیشبینی خشکسـالی شهـر خـاش بـا استفـاده از مـدل شبکـه عصبی
Drought Forecasting in Khash City by Using Neural Network Model Hossein Negaresh Associate Professor of Geography and Environmental PlanningFaculty, University of Sistan & Baluchestan Mohsen Armesh Holding Master Degree in climatology in Environmental Planning Extended Abstract 1- Introduction Drought is condition of lack of rainfall and increase in temperature occurring in...
متن کاملA Review of Epidemic Forecasting Using Artificial Neural Networks
Background and aims: Since accurate forecasts help inform decisions for preventive health-careintervention and epidemic control, this goal can only be achieved by making use of appropriatetechniques and methodologies. As much as forecast precision is important, methods and modelselection procedures are critical to forecast precision. This study aimed at providing an overview o...
متن کاملApplication of Artificial Neural Networks in a Two-step Classification for Acute Lymphocytic Leukemia Diagnosis by Blood Lamella Images
Introduction: This study aimed to present a system based on intelligent models that can enhance the accuracy of diagnostic systems for acute leukemia. The three parts including preprocessing, feature extraction, and classification network are considered as associated series of actions. Therefore, any dysfunction or poor accuracy in each part might lead in general dysfunction of...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره 2015 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2015